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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-03-20T08:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-03-20T08:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14568/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-03-24T20:43Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-23T05:54Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: SARM
Prediction Method Note:

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2019-03-20 18:19 
 - Time at C2: 2019-03-20 08:24 
 - Radial speed: 541.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 41 deg
 - Eruption location: N01W14
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - In-situ shock speed: 568.30 km/s
   - Shock arrival time: 2019-03-23 05:54 (i.e. predicted transit time: 69.52 hours)
Predicted Kp-> 3.7-4.6

Lead Time: 97.55 hour(s)
Difference: 38.82 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Marlon Nunez (UMA) on 2019-03-20T19:10Z

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